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Today's Briefing
Friday, Oct 16, 2026

Adobe: U.S. Holiday Shopping Season to Hit Record $275.1 Billion Online, Rising 6.7% YoY

  • Holiday Sales Forecast Revised Downward: Adobe now projects U.S. online holiday sales to reach a record $275.1 billion, a 6.7% year-over-year increase. This represents a downward revision from earlier forecasts, though Cyber Monday is still expected to surpass $15 billion in sales.

  • AI Agents Spark Platform Disputes and Consumer Skepticism: The rise of AI-powered shopping agents is creating new tensions. Amazon has asked Meta to remove it from the Muse AI agent experience, citing unannounced access. A global study also found 43% of Americans are wary of AI-generated ads, despite being open to AI as a shopping tool.

  • Shopify Sustains Strong Growth: Shopify reported robust Q2 results, with revenue up 34% to $3.6 billion. The company holds a leading 21.8% market share in worldwide digital commerce applications, significantly outpacing overall e-commerce growth.

The Bottom Line

E-commerce is navigating adjusted holiday sales expectations and the transformative, yet contentious, integration of AI into shopping, while key players like Shopify continue to demonstrate strong growth.

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