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U.S. Stock Market Extends Record Rally, Fueled by Tech and Geopolitical Easing
On Thursday, the S&P 500 rose 0.6% to 7,563.63, the Dow gained less than 0.1% to 50,668.97, and the Nasdaq climbed 0.9% to 26,917.47, driven by robust corporate profits from companies like Dollar Tree, Snowflake, and Hormel Foods. This rally persisted despite the April Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index showing a 3.8% year-over-year increase, marking the highest inflation in nearly three years.
Technology stocks were a primary catalyst for the continued gains, particularly on Friday, May 29, as Dell Technologies surged 31.3% after reporting profits that significantly surpassed expectations and raising its outlook due to strong demand for AI computing. The information-technology sector led the May rally, increasing by 16% for the month, while the overall S&P 500 was up 5.3%.
A tentative deal to extend the ceasefire in the U.S. war with Iran by 60 days helped ease market tensions and contributed to a decline in oil prices, with Brent crude falling 1.6% to $92.18 a barrel and U.S. crude dropping 0.9% to $88.09 per barrel on Friday. This geopolitical development also saw Treasury yields ease, with the 10-year Treasury holding steady at 4.45% from late Thursday.
The Bottom Line
The stock market's persistent rally into record territory, particularly driven by strong earnings in the technology and AI sectors, underscores investor confidence despite rising inflation and geopolitical uncertainties. Interestingly, a contrarian analysis of short-term market timers suggests a promising short-term outlook, as their near-unprecedented dumping of equity exposure during a recent market dip is viewed as a bullish signal.
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