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June Inflation Cools More Than Expected, Fed Remains Cautious Amid Geopolitical Risks
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June declined 0.4% month-over-month, with core CPI flat, marking the first outright drop since April 2020 and exceeding expectations. This moderation was largely due to a 5.7% fall in energy prices, including a 9.7% drop in gasoline, which has reduced immediate pressure for a July Federal Reserve rate hike.
Despite the softer inflation data, Federal Reserve officials, including Chairman Kevin Warsh and Governor Lisa D. Cook, emphasize that inflation remains persistently elevated above the 2% target. They caution that the risk of a rate increase before year-end still persists, underscoring a continued focus on long-term price stability.
U.S. retail sales in June rose 0.2%, matching expectations, though sales excluding autos declined 0.2%. Falling gasoline prices surprisingly masked firmer demand in other spending categories, indicating a nuanced consumer landscape.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June declined 0.4% month-over-month, with core CPI flat, marking the first outright drop since April 2020 and exceeding expectations. This moderation was largely due to a 5.7% fall in energy prices, including a 9.7% drop in gasoline, which has reduced immediate pressure for a July Federal Reserve rate hike.
Despite the softer inflation data, Federal Reserve officials, including Chairman Kevin Warsh and Governor Lisa D. Cook, emphasize that inflation remains persistently elevated above the 2% target. They caution that the risk of a rate increase before year-end still persists, underscoring a continued focus on long-term price stability.
U.S. retail sales in June rose 0.2%, matching expectations, though sales excluding autos declined 0.2%. Falling gasoline prices surprisingly masked firmer demand in other spending categories, indicating a nuanced consumer landscape.
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